|
WORLD

Military build-up
by U.S. and
NATO may presage new
conflict in the Middle East.
By
Thom White
Reader
Comments
March 24,
2007 -- In 2005, after rumors began circulating of a planned U.S.
attack on Iran's nuclear facilities, President George W. Bush responded
that, "This notion that the United States is getting ready
to attack Iran is simply ridiculous." He added, "Having
said that, all options are on the table." Observers noted that
Mr. Bush was making a veiled reference to the option of a U.S. military
assault on Iran.
In a February
24, 2007, interview, U.S. Vice President Richard Cheney said that
the Bush Administration would continue to try to "persuade"
Iran to halt their nuclear enrichment program, but repeated the
line that "all options are on the table," for the U.S.
to prevent Iran from have enriched uranium. Most public statements
from the White House and Pentagon have denied a plan of attack,
but reports on U.S. and coalition troop deployments in the past
few months point toward new and wider "U.S. military action."
In October 2006, the Centre for Research on Globalization
(www.globalresearch.ca),
published an extensive
report by Mahdi Darius Nazemroya, a researcher based in Ottawa,
that details the "ongoing naval build-up and deployment of
coalition forces in the Middle East" and gave convincing evidence
that the U.S.A., Israel, and possibly NATO, plan to launch a military
campaign against Iran and Syria.
The report made a strong connection between the
multiple U.S. aircraft carrier groups sent to the Persian Gulf and
Arabian Sea, and NATO's naval build-up in the Eastern Mediterranean
Sea, and so paints the picture of a new "war of choice"
in the Middle East by President George W. Bush, this time with open
military support and coordination from Israel and the great European
alliance, NATO.
In media outlets outside the U.S. news blackout
zone, the Bush Administration's march to war has been well-documented.
The German weekly Der Spiegel noted
in December 2005 that, "Washington appears to be dispatching
high-level officials to prepare its allies for a possible attack
rather than merely implying the possibility as it has recently done
the past year." The Telegraph (UK)'s Philip Sherwell then reported
in February 2006 that the U.S. is drawing up plans to attack nuclear
sites in Iran: "Strategists at the Pentagon are drawing up
plans for devastating bombing raids backed by submarine-launched
ballistic missile attacks against Iran's nuclear sites as a 'last
resort' to block Teheran's efforts to develop an atomic bomb."
Some European media outlets have indicated potential
Turkish involvement in the planned air strikes on Iran. The German
news agency DDP reported
that when CIA director Porter
Goss visited Ankara and met with Turkish premier Recep
Tayyip Erdogan on Dec. 12, 2005, he asked Erdogan "to provide
political and logistical support for air strikes against Iranian
nuclear and military targets" as well as for special "cooperation"
with Turkish government intelligence agencies.
In February 2007, The Sunday Herald (UK) reported
that, "Senior commanders have produced contingency plans for
a series of attacks on the Iranian homeland ... With three carrier
groups soon to be deployed in the Gulf
[the U.S. military]
has the capacity to launch air strikes or even make limited amphibious
landings
From its bases in Bulgaria and the former Soviet
central Asian republics, it can employ air power to destroy suspected
targets either by using stealth bombers or pre-programmed cruise
missiles."
The writer, Trevor Royle,
then asked the pivotal question at hand: "Is Bush going for
broke by laying plans to attack Iran or is he involved in a dangerous
game of brinksmanship?"
MILITARY BUILD-UP IN THE PERSIAN
GULF
The U.S. Navy flagship U.S.S.
Enterprise, the first nuclear-powered aircraft carrier ever
built, led the U.S. armada's mission in the Persian Gulf in 2006.
The stated mission of the Enterprise Strike Group was "to conduct
naval security operations and aerial missions in the region"
and ostensibly to help provide air support for US-Coalition forces
in Afghanistan and Iraq.
GlobalResearch reported in October 2006 that, "the
Eisenhower Strike Group, based in Norfolk, Virginia, received orders
to deploy to the Middle East" to replace the U.S.S. Enterprise
in its mission. The flagship U.S.S.
Eisenhower is another nuclear-powered aircraft carrier. The
U.S.S.
John C. Stennis, a third nuclear-powered aircraft carrier, arrived
in the region in February 2007 to aid the Eisenhower Strike Group.
The U.S. will station one carrier strike group in the Persian Gulf
and the other further east in the Gulf of Oman.
According to GlobalResearch, another U.S. group
of assault warships, Expeditionary
Strike Group 5 (ESG 5), set off from the naval station in San
Diego, Calif., in September 2006, with its final destination being
the Persian Gulf.
The flagship for ESG
5 is the assault ship U.S.S. Boxer. The strike group includes
a "dock landing vessel" and a couple destroyers hauling
U.S. guided missiles.
The Navy Times reported
in September 2006 that this strike group has "over 6,000 U.S.
Marines and Navy personnel," approximately 4,000 sailors and
2,200 Marines from the 15th Marine Expeditionary Unit at Camp Pendleton,
north of San Diego. They are reported to have a tour of duty in
the Persian Gulf and "possibly" in Anglo-American occupied
Iraq for half a year. One U.S. Coast Guard vessel, and a "Marine
air wing of 38 helicopters also is on board and traveling to the
Persian Gulf."
Before ESG 5 reached the coast waters of Iran, they
made a stop in Hawaii to do some "anti-submarine drills and
operations" in the Pacific Ocean. Is this in preparation against
Iran's modernized submarine force?
GlobalResearch notes that the U.S. naval units involved
in the deployment include "minesweepers and mine-hunters [that]
have absolutely no use in landlocked Afghanistan and are not needed
in Iraq which has a maritime corridor and ports totally controlled
by the Anglo-American alliance."
ESG 5 will include a Seattle-based Coast Guard unit,
and a Canadian navy frigate. The U.S. Coast Guard's involvement
in the attack on Iran is one of many new operations in which Coast
Guard units are being sent off to fight foreign wars.
GlobalResearch reports, "The U.S. Coast Guard
is beginning to see more use and deployment with the U.S. Navy ...
The U.S. Coast Guard falls under the jurisdiction and mandate of
the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, but at the Department
of Defense's request, the Coast Guard can operate under military
missions at sea."
The Seattle Post-Intelligencer reported
in September 2006 that the Pentagon appears to value the Coast Guard
because it can "enter ports that other warships can not"
and because the organization is specialized in maritime search and
rescue operations.
Lee Alexander, commander of the Coast Guard boat,
the U.S.S. Midgett, says, "What we bring to the strike group
[ESG 5] is the ability to conduct intercepts and maritime security
operations." He added, "The tools used to fight crime
and save lives at home [in the U.S.A.] are valuable in the war zone."
GlobalResearch reported that "... it is predicted by military
analysts that there will definitely be U.S. vessels that will be
destroyed and heavily damaged in the Persian Gulf by the Iranian
Armed Forces in the event of a conflict..."
LONG-TERM PREPARATIONS FOR ATTACK
When it comes to full-scale assaults on a nation
of millions of people who already know you are planning to attack
them, the attacker must often spend years getting ready.
The botched U.S.-U.K. invasion of Iraq was officially
announced on television on March 19, 2003, but the infamous "Downing
Street Memo," released in May 2005 by The Times (UK), confirms
that U.K. PM Tony Blair and U.S. President George W. Bush were already
decided on invading Iraq in 2002, almost a year before the full
assault.
GlobalResearch's report gave another good example
of planning, with details about the D-Day Invasion, a military operation
not revealed publicly to Americans until June 1944:
"... People do not always realize that a war
is never planned, executed or even anticipated in a matter of weeks.
Military operations take months and even years to prepare. A classical
example is Operation Overlord (popularly identified as "D-Day"),
which resulted in the Battle of Normandy and the invasion of France.
Operation Overlord took place on June 6, 1944, but the preparations
for the military operation took eighteen months, "officially,"
to set the stage for the invasion of the French coast. It was during
a meeting in Casablanca, Morocco in January 1943, that the U.S.
President, F.D. Roosevelt, and the British Prime Minister, Winston
Churchill, outlined a strategy to invade Normandy."
IRAN'S MILITARY
What would be the Iranian military opposition that
U.S. forces would face? GlobalResearch asserts that Iran has been
upgrading its military and technology in earnest since the NATO-US
bombing raids on Serbia in 1999: "Iranian Armed Forces are
characterized by well-structured military organization, with advanced
military capabilities," when compared with recent U.S.-NATO
adversaries such as Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, and Iraq.
Iran's navy is divided between units within the
Iranian Regular Armed Forces and the naval branch of the Iranian
Revolutionary Guard. According to GlobalResearch: "Iran has
a submarine fleet of Iranian and Russian-manufactured submarines,
a hovercraft fleet that was once the largest in the world, ROVs
(remotely operated vehicles)
helicopter squadrons, minesweepers,
a large arsenal of anti-ship missiles
and mini-submarines
manufactured domestically in Iran."
GlobalResearch reports that during "the August
2006 Iranian war games and exercises, the Iranian military displayed
the latest 'Patrol Torpedo (PT)' boats which are small naval vessels
that have been used effectively to attack larger warships."
These quick, maneuverable boats have the capability to launch powerful
missiles with a range of over 20 kilometers. During these same war
games, Iran also tested a series of "submarine-to-surface"
anti-ship missiles.
GlobalResearch says, "The anti-ship missile
is designed to destroy large submarines" and is said to be
"too fast for most vessels to escape." In Iran's anti-ship
missile arsenal are "modified Russian and Chinese 'Silkworms'
and 'Sunburns'."
Iran tested an array of new torpedoes in April 2006,
and test-fired the Shahab missiles in November 2006. According to
the Associated Press (2/20/07), "The moves [by Iran] have alarmed
U.S. officials about possible accidental confrontations that could
boil over into war
" Early warning systems will be essential
for the U.S. in combating the Iranian military.
NATO BUILD-UP AROUND
LEBANON
A naval configuration is being set up by the NATO
military alliance in what may be a separate theatre in the new war
on the Middle East. The first theatre is in Iran, and the second
theatre is in Lebanon and Syria.
Naval build-up by NATO off the coast of Israel and
Lebanon is justified by UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which
ordained the "peacekeeping" assignment in Lebanon in August
2006. This newest peacekeeping mission was made necessary after
the Israeli military destroyed much of Lebanon's infrastructure
in an apparently unsuccessful summer assault targeting Hezbollah.
Many of NATO's peacekeepers, maintaining a "ceasefire"
between Hezbollah and Israel in Lebanon, have assisted in the occupation
of Afghanistan since the U.S. invasion in 2001, and many have served
in the U.S.-led occupation of Iraq. GlobalResearch's report describes
how in Lebanon, "under a formal peacekeeping mandate, NATO
has become a de facto occupation force that is party to the Anglo-American
agenda" and what he terms "the military road map"
that the U.S. has already undertaken in Iraq and Afghanistan.
It now appears that the NATO peacekeeping operation
is coordinated with Israel. In 2005, NATO signed a military cooperation
agreement with Israel (Istanbul Cooperation Initiative), and now
continues to enforce a naval embargo on Lebanon that Israel began
during their invasion in summer 2006. The embargo has UN approval
as part of the "monitoring of the Lebanese coastline to enforce
rules about the entry of military supplies and weapons into Lebanon."
Most key European powers are involved with this
naval and troop build-up around Lebanon and Syria. NATO allies (led
by Germany and Italy) are providing ships to patrol the seas off
Lebanon, while NATO ground forces (led by France) occupy much of
the country itself.
German warships will join the NATO naval forces,
and Germany will in fact take command of these forces from Italy.
The German naval deployment to the Eastern Mediterranean had to
be approved by the German Bundestag, and it was. Bloomberg News
reported in September 2006, "The naval mission, the first German
deployment to the Middle East since the end of the Second World
War, was backed by 442 lawmakers, with 152 against and 5 abstentions.
As many as 2,400 German personnel will now be deployed to the region,
backed by a one-year mandate expiring August 31, 2007. The mission
brings the number of German soldiers serving overseas to above 10,000
for the first time in post-war [post-1945] history."
Three Danish warships will join the NATO armada.
Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen has been a strong supporter
of the Anglo-American takeovers in Afghanistan and Iraq, and Danes
are considering sending more troops to Afghanistan.
Ten Greek warships are integrated into the NATO
armada and have been given rein to "use force if needed."
Spain also has two warships stationed off the Lebanese coast, and
the Netherlands has offered two ships with a total crew of 150 sailors.
While Italy and Germany head the naval operations,
France's participation is concentrated on ground forces in Lebanon.
France is slated to have 2,000 troops in Lebanon and French tank
and armor units help comprise "the most powerful armor ever
deployed by a United Nations peacekeeping force" in history.
This heavy tank contribution points to offensive possibilities from
the U.N.-approved peacekeeping force, since tanks are known to be
good in the lightning warfare of a "Blitzkrieg."
Italy has redeployed troops from Iraq to Lebanon.
Spain has troops deployed near Tyre in South Lebanon, and more Spanish
troops are also inland near the Syrian border and in the Golan Heights,
a strategic area occupied by Israel since 1967. Belgium is also
dispatching 400 troops to Southern Lebanon to help other NATO troops
stationed there.
In September 2006, the Turkish government pledged
troops to help occupy Lebanon, but they face intense public opposition
to the move. Bulgaria has said it will send naval and ground forces
to help patrol Lebanon, though its government voted to pull its
troops from Iraq in 2005.
With NATO peacekeeping occupations now effective
in Lebanon and Afghanistan, and with budding military alliances
with the governments of Azerbaijan and Georgia, a "strategic
triangle" is being formed around the entire Middle East.
The Balkans have also become an important staging
ground for NATO operations. After helping to dismantle and occupy
much of Yugoslavia in the 1990s (a country which had been the main
regional power for much of the century), NATO now has forces stationed
over large portions of the former Yugoslavia: Bosnia-Herzegovina,
Kosovo, and Macedonia. In the last few years, NATO has moved its
military forces eastward with new bases in Hungary, Romania, and
Bulgaria.
The Sunday Herald (UK) reported that the newly opened
U.S. Air Force bases in Bulgaria have begun receiving squadrons
of B-2 stealth bombers, well within range to bomb the Middle East.
Will Romania and Bulgaria serve as new launching pads for a NATO
attack in the Middle East?
In the fall of 2006, Russian news agencies reported
their government's rising concerns about NATO expansion plans in
the Balkans and former parts of the Russian Empire. NATO is now
seeking entry of the Ukraine, Azerbaijan and Georgia into the Anglo-American
run military cooperation pact, further surrounding Russia.
BAKU-TBILISI-CEYHAN (BTC)
OIL PIPELINE
The Caspian-Mediterranean Oil Terminal is a new
pipeline opened in July 2006 that connects the oil fields around
the Caspian Sea to the Mediterranean Sea. The
pipeline runs from Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan, through Georgia
and its capital Tbilisi, and then southwest through Turkey to the
Mediterranean coast near Ceyhan.
Observers see a connection between securing this
pipeline and the NATO deployments around Syria and Iran. The terminal
of this pipeline is very close to the coasts of Syria and Lebanon,
where much of the NATO military build-up has been happening.
GlobalResearch analyzed the political significance
of this new pipeline:
"Georgia occupies a strategic position with
regard to the control and protection of the oil pipeline corridors
out of the Caspian Sea Basin. It also constitutes a wedge between
Russia, Armenia, and Iran. Azerbaijan serves primarily as an oil
source ..."
The pipeline was opened in July 2006, but with little
fanfare, given that Israel unleashed a bombing campaign and ground
invasion of Lebanon the very same month.
U.S. MILITARY RHETORIC
DOWNPLAYS ATTACK ON IRAN
In February 2007, the U.S. military based in the
Persian Gulf issued a series of statements denying that the build-up
of U.S. air, naval, and amphibious attack forces had anything to
do with any operation against Iran.
Vice Admiral Patrick Walsh, the outgoing commander
of the U.S. Naval Forces Central Command and the U.S. 5th Fleet
(based in Bahrain), denied that the U.S. was planning anything "offensive"
against Iran and said that U.S. military presence in the region
was purely "defensive."
Vice Admiral Walsh, who is moving up to be Vice-Chief
of naval operations at the Pentagon, said that during Iranian war
exercises in 2006, "Iranian sailors have loaded mines onto
small mine-laying boats and test-fired a Shahab-3 ballistic missile
into international waters," and indicated that Iran might use
these mines and missiles to threaten "innocent passage of vessels"
through the Straits of Hormuz. "Mines are an offensive terrorist
type of weapon," added Vice Adm. Walsh, who is being replaced
by Vice Admiral Kevin J. Cosgriff as head of the U.S. Navy 5th Fleet.
Captain Bradley E. Johansson, commanding officer
of the nuclear-powered U.S. aircraft carrier U.S.S. John C. Stennis,
which entered the Persian Gulf in February 2007, said the carrier
strike group's "mission right now is specifically focused on
Afghanistan to provide the air support for the ground coalition
troops there
Our positioning is focused to be adjacent to
the air corridors that go over Pakistan into Afghanistan."
The presence of two carrier strike groups also allows for "flexibility"
in U.S. war operations. Capt. Johansson indicated that air battle
groups were being stationed in the Persian Gulf region because its
centralized location allows American forces the ability to carry
out bombing raids and aerial surveillance operations in the multiplying
regions where the U.S.-led coalition has occupation forces. These
areas now span from Lebanon to Afghanistan, and down to Somalia,
"The Horn of Africa," the latest strategic victim of regime
change at the hands of the U.S. military.
Captain Sterling G. Gilliam, head of the eight-squadron
Air Wing Nine, reiterated the official explanation for the build-up
of American air power off Iran's coastline. "Right now we are
just focused on supporting the war on terror and providing support
for our forces on the ground in Afghanistan." Like Capt. Johansson,
Capt. Gilliam was certain to use terms like "right now"
and "focused" so as not to completely deny bombing plans
for Iran, but only downplay them temporarily.
OPPOSITION TO THE
NEW WAR WITH IRAN
There has been some dissent voiced by Democratic
Party Leaders. Senate Majority leader Harry Reid of Nevada warned
that, "The president does not have the authority to launch
military action without first seeking congressional authorization."
There is also sharp division among some globalist strategists about
using violent military action against Iran.
For many decades a prime "mover and shaker"
in promoting the cause of corporate internationalism, former National
Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski has made harsh criticisms and
dire warnings about any sort of US attack on Iran.
Mr. Brzezinski wrote an op-ed piece that appeared
in newspapers worldwide in April 2006, titled simply "Do not
attack Iran." In this analysis, the former Carter Administration
cabinet member stated, "If undertaken without formal Congressional
declaration, it would be unconstitutional and merit the impeachment
of the president." He also described how violence would probably
erupt in neighboring countries, and oil prices would climb, disrupting
modern economies across the globe.
In a February 1, 2007, hearing before the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee, Mr. Brzezinski said about Iraq, "American
public opinion holds that the war was a mistake," and that
neoconservatives' drive to escalate the Iraq War is clearly an "isolationist"
policy for American security and prosperity. "One should note
here also that practically no country in the world shares the Manichean
delusions that the [Bush] administration so passionately articulates.
The result is growing political isolation of, and pervasive popular
antagonism toward the U.S. global position."
He then described the "mythical historical
narrative" being promulgated by warmongers of all stripes,
a narrative that has been changing since 9/11 and the invasion of
Iraq, but that has now crystallized. Brzezinski said, "The
war is now being redefined as the 'decisive ideological struggle'
of our time, reminiscent of the earlier collisions with Nazism and
Stalinism." World War II is still considered a "just war"
by most, so the Bush Administration tries to tie the war on terror
narrative as closely as possible to that of the Second World War.
According to Mr. Brzezinski, this "mythical historical narrative"
for Bush's War on Terrorism thus makes the horrific murder of thousands
of people in New York City on 9/11 a central event to its entire
view of current history, "as the equivalent of the Pearl Harbor
attack which precipitated American involvement in World War II."
SPARKING THE WAR
CONFLAGRATION
Many are wondering what will be the spark to set
off the new war bonfire. Given the horrific death and destruction
that have become hallmarks of U.S. war on terror operations in Iraq
and Afghanistan, what would it take for Americans to accept a full-scale
war against Iran?
World Net Daily commentator Jerome Corsi seems to
think the USA is almost being "forced" into starting World
War III. He surmises that, "Should Iran launch a cruise missile
at a U.S. Navy ship in the Gulf, we will have war right now. Should
an Iranian missile sink a U.S. carrier, the U.S. population would
experience another 9/11 moment. At that point, a massive U.S.-led
military strike on Iran would become inevitable." Corsi points
to the wider war that will likely ensue beyond the front along the
coasts of Southern Iran, and says, "If a broader war breaks
out in Iraq, [Israeli P.M.] Olmert will certainly face pressure
to send the Israeli military into Gaza after Hamas and into Lebanon
after Hezbollah. If that happens, it will only be a matter of time
before Israel and the U.S. have no choice but to invade Syria. The
Iraq war could quickly spin into a regional war
" that
could even include Russia and China.
In January 2007, Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul of Texas
warned of "a contrived Gulf of Tonkin-type incident (that)
may occur to gain popular support for an attack on Iran." The
1964 Gulf of Tonkin incident, where US warships were apparently
attacked by North Vietnamese PT Boats, was cited by President Lyndon
B. Johnson as a legitimate provocation mandating U.S. escalation
in Vietnam. Declassified LBJ presidential tapes, however, reveal
that the Tonkin attack of August 4, 1964, was a "false alarm"
and did not take place, but was used as justification to step up
U.S. air strikes on North Vietnam, and increase funding for bomb-builders.
During his February 1, 2007, hearing, Zbigniew Brzezinski
made some startling remarks about misgivings he had that the Bush
Administration might blame Iran for an upcoming terrorist attack
in the U.S., and send U.S. bombers against this foreign land, even
if there is not sufficient evidence to justify the accusation against
Iran.
Mr. Brzezinski said: "A plausible scenario
for a military collision with Iran involves an Iraqi failure to
meet the benchmarks; followed by accusations of Iranian responsibility
for the failure; then by some provocation in Iraq or a terrorist
act in the U.S. blamed on Iran; culminating in a "defensive"
U.S. military action against Iran."
Brzezinski's description of a terrorist attack "blamed"
on Iran which "forces" the U.S. into a pre-planned "defensive"
war against Iran (note the quotation marks) would be termed by many
to be a "false flag attack."
What is a "false-flag"? Adri
Mehra of the Minnesota Daily wrote about false-flag
operations in history and explained, "False flags are top-secret
military operations that are designed to look like they were conducted
by other governments -- in short, pretending to be the enemy in
order to start a war. The name is derived from the practice of flying
"false colors" in naval warfare, in which a ship raises
the flag of a country other than its own in order to deceive and
confuse other ships, and provide a means for attack and, ultimately,
a pretext for war."
Mr. Mehra described one of the most famous apparent
false-flag attacks in U.S. history, the sinking of the U.S.S. Maine
in Havana, Cuba in 1898, a spark that set off a wave of indignation
across America, and led to the Spanish-American War and U.S. conquest
and colonization of Cuba, Puerto Rico, Hawaii and the Philippines:
"In 1898, the U.S.S. Maine was sent by its superiors uninvited
to Havana harbor near Cuba and mysteriously sank, likely due to
spontaneous combustion caused by a coal bunker (then a frequent
problem on ships built after the Civil War), according to a report
published by Navy Admiral Hyman G. Rickover in 1976.
"However, at the time, President McKinley immediately
blamed the Spanish in Cuba for planting a mine that destroyed the
ship, despite no testimony, documentation or specific accusation
of Spanish authorities.
"What's more, there were no recorded eyewitnesses
that reported having seen jets of water thrown up during the massive
explosion, nor were there any dead fish found to be floating in
the harbor - both necessary characteristics of such a catastrophic
underwater event."
Despite the lack of evidence against Spain, the
sinking of the U.S.S. Maine and death of over 250 U.S. sailors provided
a pretext for the U.S.'s pre-planned war of liberation in Cuba.
There are many signs that the Bush Administration is preparing a
military confrontation with Iran, but would U.S. government leaders
be willing and able to use a "false-flag" terrorist incident
blamed on Iran to plunge America into a dangerous new military adventure?
CONSEQUENCES OF ATTACKING IRAN
GlobalResearch's report states that the war being
planned may be much bigger than any of the previous phases of the
war on terror. "A conflict against Iran and Syria
would
be wider in scope, deadlier, and have active aerial and naval fronts.
Sea power would be of greater significance than in Yugoslavia, Afghanistan,
Iraq, and Lebanon," the more recent NATO battle fronts.
Oil from many parts of the Middle East flows out
from the Persian Gulf through the Straits of Hormuz, and on to the
Arabian Sea, Indian Ocean, and the wider world.
One of the main centers of conflict in a U.S.-Iran
war would be this region around the Straits of Hormuz. The Straits
of Hormuz, sometimes referred to as the "energy lifeline to
the world," are 34 miles across, though the path that oil tankers
take through the straits is only six miles wide.
GlobalResearch's report states that, "If there
were to be a conflict with Iran, the United States and its partners
would want to keep the Straits of Hormuz open for the flow of international
oil." If this waterway is closed off, it will disrupt the petroleum
flow that fuels modern society. Will the U.S. be able to keep the
oil tankers flowing while their strike forces are attacking Iran?
The U.S strategy will certainly be for a quick,
decisive victory, but it is hard to know what will happen in a "real
combat situation" when U.S. troops face Iranian mines and missile
attacks. What if the battle closes off the Straits of Hormuz --
how will the market react to this cut in supply?
GlobalResearch points out, "The Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan
Oil Terminal will become even more significant and important if
Iran should successfully close off the Straits of Hormuz."
CONCLUSION
In Europe, observers continue to cover the naval
build-up in the Middle East by the U.S. and her allies. Deutsche
Presse-Agentur reported in February 2007 that, "Speculations
over an impending attack [on Iran] intensified in recent days after
British naval officials revealed that their presence since October
[2006] had doubled, with a French aircraft carrier steaming towards
the region."
Retired Air Force Col. Sam Gardiner, who published
a lengthy report on the Bush Administration's deceptive war
propaganda practices leading up to the Iraq war, has been watching
the pieces fall into place for the new war and says, "I think
the plan's been picked: bomb the nuclear sites in Iran. It's a terrible
idea. It's against U.S. law and it's against international law,
but I think they've decided to do it."
Some observers suspect U.S. forces under the command
of George W. Bush might turn this war "nuclear" given
the fact that many Iranian nuclear facilities are underground, and
previous executive reports have extolled possible benefits of the
"nuclear option." In May 2004, the Bush Administration
issued a "National Security Presidential Directive" called
"Nuclear Weapons Deployment Authorization." This report
is classified but may relate to "tactical nuclear weapons"
and the appropriateness of using "mini-nukes" against
war on terror enemies, as outlined in CONPLAN 8022, a Pentagon report
issued in early 2004 and covered in the Washington
Post.
Even if the U.S. public is not willing to support
a surgical assault on Iran, what with the rampant death, innocent
casualties, and general ruination and destruction accompanying the
hi-tech violence of modern warfare, The Sunday Herald reported a
key note being run through "the rumour mill": "If
the US does not take action against Iran then it will hand the task
over to its ally, Israel, whose air force has recently been equipped
with US bunker-busting ordnance capable of destroying Iran's hidden
nuclear facilities
Israeli defence forces are negotiating
with the US to provide an air corridor over Iraq to enable their
war planes to overfly the country in order to attack Iranian nuclear
facilities. The Israelis have carried out such an attack before:
in 1981 they bombed Iraq 's nuclear reactor at Osirak and destroyed
the country's fledgling nuclear industry."
Will people accept further "bloodshed by choice"
by George W. Bush and Co. and continue to pledge their earnings
and volunteer their children for what is unraveling into a general
war with the Muslim world in order to "transform the Middle
East"? With signs pointing to a new war, now is the time for
Americans to decide.
LINKS
GlobalResearch.ca:
The March to War: Naval build-up in the Persian Gulf and the Eastern
Mediterranean.
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Reader Comments
3/25/2007
They'll probably time it with the total collapse
of
the subprime market and when all those homes go into
final foreclosure. That way, when they reintroduce the
draft, everyone won't care.
-- Robert Rowsey
San Diego, Calif.
---
3/25/2007
Chilling! It's all too real a possibility given
US history: Mexico, Spain, WWI, Viet Nam and Iraq. There are more
but whatever -- the USA has a long war pig history. Let's hope not
and do what we can to stop it.
-- Chuck
Nice and Friendly
Venice, Calif.
---
3/25/2007
"... indicates the US may be planning to attack
Iran."
It works for me.
-- Billy Zoom
Orange, Calif.
---
3/26/2007
A very thorough rendition of the situation. My concern
has always been why? Why can't Iran have nukes? Who decides who
can join the club? The current members? We have Israel, who refuses
to sign the non-proliferation treaty, and doesn't officially acknowledge
having them. Are they a de facto member of the club? How many inspections
of Israel have been carried out? While we continue development of
our own arsenal, we pontificate what others can do. How long will
the world go along with that?
-- Raff Ellis
Orlando, Fla.
---
3/26/2007
Shrub is certainly the most dangerous man alive.
The UN raised it's level of presence in the Mediterranean
during sanctions against Iraq too, even though they had no intention
of war. The increased UN Security Council sanctions against Iran
on Saturday show (I hope) that they are following the same path
of rule making, inspection and enforcement through diplomacy and
sanctions that they followed with Iraq.
The UN couldn't stop Shrub the first time. With
enough support however, maybe they can stop him the second time.
Security
Council tightens sanctions against Iran over uranium enrichment
-- Bruce Melton, P.E.
Austin, Tex.
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